BitMEX Alpha Minute - 09 DEC 2025 📊 Market Snapshot (24H): $BTC: ~$90,800 (Consolidating tight range ahead of FOMC) $ETH: ~$3,130 (Outperforming slightly, +1.5% vs BTC) Market Comment: The entire market is in "wait and see" mode as we kick off FOMC week. Volatility has been crushed as traders de-risk before tomorrow's rate decision. The consensus is pricing in an 87% chance of a 25bps cut, but the real mover will be Powell's dot plot and guidance for 2026. MicroStrategy stepped in with another $1B buy support at $90k, effectively putting a floor on the weekend dip, but organic spot demand remains thin until the Fed speaks. 🎯 Our Take & Key Levels: Don't front-run the Fed. The current structure is a "PvP" chop. Bull Case: A "Dovish Cut" sends $BTC back above $93,500 to target the $98k liquidity. Bear Case: If Powell sounds hawkish or signals a pause, expect a flush of the leverage built up around $90k, targeting the $88k range low. Strategy: Sit on hands until Wednesday. The real move starts after the press conference. CRITICAL LEVEL: $88,000 (The "Line in the Sand").This level marks the recent liquidity sweep low. A sustained breakdown below $88k invalidates the current recovery structure and puts $82,000 back on the table.

Whale manipulation and accumulation? interesting theory: https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/1998085075531874443

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